SH GOH's comment on DUFU. All Comments

SH GOH
8 Like · Reply
回到2018年的业绩。如果以2018年的股价来说的话,dufu大概只值8毛。
SEA BOBO
其实 X(twitter) 才是我用过最好的投资资料平台 xD。有许多牛人在里面发表意见,也有超级多的免费的资料。。。
1 Like · 1 month · translate
SEA BOBO
要看AGM是否撞到我工作的高峰期了。如果没,应该会去AGM。
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Koh Randy
好希望到时候能和你聊两句。请问你twitter叫 sea bobo 吗?hahah
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Admiral Adama
以前我也很常用twitter做data mining. 但是自从被小马哥私有化之后做了一系列的限制之后我就很少登入了。。。
Like · 1 month · translate
Choo
dufu老板至少不是画大饼的老板,有时间AGM很值得去
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Boo man
anyone went to their Agm? got any insights? heard order start picking up d. that's why fund manager bought in and push share price up
1 Like · 1 month · translate
yap yap
Dufu rm6 gogogo
3 Like · 1 month · translate
SEA BOBO
接下来应该是轮到封装测试公司闪耀的时候了。数据中心里面有大量的cpu跟gpu。除此之外,还有fpga跟各种各样的asic。这些芯片都是需要封装测试才能出货,并且布局在数据中心。大马有四大天王,各有千秋。个人认为要趁早布局,不然等到下半年有AI功能的IPhone跟PC都出现了后,那就太迟了。
2 Like · 1 month · translate
SEA BOBO
从四大天王的股价看已经偷跑了一阵子。
不过还是很便宜哈哈 :)
1 Like · 1 month · translate
yap yap
Cpu和gpu我不看好,因为中国晶片产能过剩。价钱应该拉不上来。dufu是special case 来的,他专科记忆体硬件。seagate 和wd 御用的。
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SEA BOBO
中国生产的芯片大多数都是mature node的产品。用tsmc的marketing话术来说的话就是10nm以下的芯片中国都有能力大量生产。不过一些特别的芯片如inari主要客户的产品,中国可没有这方面的技术。这是我们可以留意的。
顺带一提,因为中美贸易战的关系,原本跟中国下单的公司都转移来马了。这个是我们的moat,没有地渊政治问题的moat。这也是为什么我会说可以留意大马的封装测试了。
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1 Like · 1 month · translate
Koh Randy
其实四大天王已经跑了。inari mpi gtronic and unisem 对吧
Like · 1 month · translate
yap yap
所以咯,因为中国过剩,高端封装都轮不到马来西亚,在台湾就能搞定。低端封装库存又过剩,你说封装股就有点硬水。
Like · 1 month · translate
SEA BOBO
erm,你说的有道理。不过现在跟以前不一样了。现在客户prefer跟没有地渊政治问题的国家处在的公司下单,以避免突然有一天什么货都拿不到。台湾有台海危机,老美又在想着如何应对中国的产能过剩问题。。。
1 Like · 1 month · translate
SEA BOBO
相信在China Plus One的策略下,大马的四大天王会慢慢地越来越huat
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Steve Cheah Siew Wai
steady bom bibi
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yap yap
现在还不是时候,等库存跌到70天,那四大就有机会,现在130天库存,很难涨。四大天王要stanby impairment,过度扩充了,revenue 跟不上, 产能利用率应该还会降。
Like · 1 month · translate
SEA BOBO
讲真,要准准入场是很考验个人的经验的。但是risk and reward摆到明那么吸引了,我就不解了为何不进场。等看到帐面变美的时候就太迟了。
1 Like · 1 month · translate
SEA BOBO
Yup, 你说的没错。
我比较喜欢把公司的发展跟技术摆在第一位。这样我晚上睡觉也不用太担心。

我比较喜欢用低价买入有潜质的公司,而且我买的timing超烂的。所以只要价格合适,公司未来也不错的情况下,我都会入手。

但是失去的是机会,因为投进去的钱会卡死在里面。
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Like · 1 month · translate
yap yap
今天的资本的报酬是5%,如何要赚到5%利息,
第一,你公司就算利息没5%,但业绩成长高过5%,市场就会期待你的成长cover 5%的利息
第二,如果你公司业绩没有5%成长,你的股价就要跌到去dy 5%的位置。
Like · 1 month · translate
SH GOH
bobo,没有人可以买在最低点,也没有人可以卖在最高点。只要自己会控制,有自己的一套买卖机制就可以了(看得出来你也很厉害)
1 Like · 1 month · translate
Elisiay yoki
buy last minute and sell last minute
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Ang Lian Jiae
我有朋友在dufu 里面做,他说四月起变得很忙了
6 Like · 4 weeks · translate
Elisiay yoki
cannot liao,Taliban start war
Like · 4 weeks · translate
Artus Go
老板卖股哈。。。。。。。
1 Like · 3 weeks · translate
chong SweeCharBoh
Elisiay , are you sure, they are having war now?
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Oong KuokSung
up fast down fast, gonna be extremely patience
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SEA BOBO
Lol, Iran told Reuters there was no missle attack in Iran. It means Iran is trying to downplay the situation to avoid further escalation.
1 Like · 3 weeks · translate
Warren Time
bobo it’s a joke, hahaha.
1 Like · 3 weeks · translate
SEA BOBO
Lmao, it's a show. Iran re-opens their airport already.
4 Like · 3 weeks · translate
yap yap
基本面没改变,Ai钱投进来了,dufu 订单回来了。短期波动一定有。如果打仗就漂亮,打仗就能带蹦美元。美国资本外流。
1 Like · 3 weeks · translate
Oong KuokSung
Tomorrow Seagate will announce earnings. Western Digital on coming Thursday. Dufu probably next week.
1 Like · 2 weeks · translate
SEA BOBO
I expect bullish outlooks.
2 Like · 2 weeks · translate
SEA BOBO
As expected, Seagate revenue and eps beat the analysts estimation.
2 Like · 2 weeks · translate
Admiral Adama
Earning Hightlight:

Mass Capacity demand improved sequentially, led
by stronger nearline Cloud more than offsetting
seasonally lower VIA demand

Nearline revenue increased sequentially for the
second consecutive quarter reflecting higher sales
into both US and China cloud customers and
stabilized enterprise demand

VIA market inline with expectations; anticipating VIA
to reflect more typical seasonal patterns through
CY24 with the March quarter representing the low
point
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1 Like · 2 weeks · translate
Choo
臭豆腐变黄金豆腐了吗?我等很久了..........
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SEA BOBO
Ya, stx guided 1.8 billion revenue next quarter. We can anticipate strong recovery coming soon... Tmr will be WDC turn, stay tuned...
1 Like · 2 weeks · translate
Oong KuokSung
lets go@
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yap yap
可以limit up吗?
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SEA BOBO
Over the next several years, the volume of AI-generated content is expected to increase and also shift toward more imagery and videos, which can be up to 1,000 times larger than text. These trends bode well for HDD demand over the long term, as HDDs remain the most cost-effective means to house and subsequently use mass capacity data.
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1 Like · 2 weeks · translate
SEA BOBO
I'm fking bullish on WDC HDD demand... Let's see what they say tonight... Turnaround for dufu should be at the corner...
1 Like · 2 weeks · translate
yap yap
没有记忆体,大ai模型是无法学习的。
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Oong KuokSung
WDC earnings on 25th Apr After Hours
1 Like · 2 weeks · translate
Aubergine Phang
Memory disc demand will surge for sure
1 Like · 2 weeks · translate
SEA BOBO
WDC 2024 Q1 HDD shipment records the highest exabyte shipped in the last 6 quarters... The turnaround for dufu is real... Either this quarter or next quarter the result would be pretty "heng" again...
3 Like · 2 weeks · translate
Admiral Adama
Exabyte shipment increased 41% qoq, asp increased 18% qoq.
3 Like · 2 weeks · translate
Boo man
ya crazy quarter. earning cals mentions will continue increase
2 Like · 2 weeks · translate
Eric S
WDC forecast 33% gross profit margin
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SEA BOBO
for HDD, we see it as all the data that's going to feed that process is going to sit on HDDs. And obviously, once those models get trained, they're going to turn out data that's 85% plus of that is going to be stored on HDD.
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1 Like · 2 weeks · translate
SEA BOBO
This is an "AI" stock, market just haven't realised that we can create a story to link them up... WDC earnings call is very informative
1 Like · 2 weeks · translate
yap yap
fed还没降息前,hold着不用跑,一旦降息,赶紧跑路。
1 Like · 2 weeks · translate
David Lai
yap yap 大佬,是股价跑。。还是拿钱跑啊? 那么刺激。。
Like · 2 weeks · translate
yap yap
David, 你要明白升息周期受益股,和升息周期受害股。在fed 升息的时候,股票依然很强势,在还没降息之前不要跑。一旦fed 降息,那些钱就会从强势股例如ytl, ytl power, 跑去那些升息受害股,例如genm, mflour, annjoo. 传统产业。跟着钱的流向
1 Like · 2 weeks · translate
qiu xuanmiao
yap yap老大 可以讲讲怎么样是升息受益股吗?
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yap yap
qiu,股价不停的创高的应该就是受益股咯。我也不大清楚,我瞎掰的。
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SEA BOBO
有人去AGM吗?
有的话可以分享一下管理层说了什么吗?
Like · 4 days · translate
Admiral Adama
听说现在厂房使用率70%,预期今年单位数成长。。。
1 Like · 4 days · translate
SEA BOBO
@Adama 谢谢你的info。
Like · 4 days · translate
SEA BOBO
DUFU 周年股东大会

✔️ 管理层表示今年的盈利保持在低二位数增长率

✔️工厂的utilisation rate 在2023年平均在60%,而现今工厂的utilisation rate 是70%

✔️管理层表示他们预计接下来的几年内,HDD的盈利增长为10%;NON HDD的盈利增长是20%

✔️在总盈利中,HDD还是占据了高达70%营业额,而其余的30%是来自于其他业务。

✔️Bukit Minyak 的新工厂已经在去年投入运营,专注于Sheet Metal Fabrication 的业务。管理层表示他们预计今年的业务会增长在20%,而接下来五年会维持在10-20%的增长率。

✔️总结来说,管理层会继续开拓业务市场以增加市场份额。与其同时也会考察新的领域,寻求发展机会。

WY, Stockaholics
Growth • Through • Sharing

我从fb偷过来的,credit to Stockaholics。
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5 Like · 4 days · translate
SEA BOBO
坏消息?
Sell on news?
Q1 earnings yoy跌?
我也不知道,copy and patse罢了
Like · 4 days · translate
yap yap
Sea, 不用担心,市场很多guru buycall, 现在应该很多人赚一点就套现离场。会涨到改变信仰。现在很多国家正在build up data centre, 我希望dufu今天跌个8%下来。洗一洗daytrader的筹码。
1 Like · 4 days · translate
yap yap
Sea, Yoy 应该差一点,但股价早都反应了,现在看的是qoq的增长,qoq的revenue 又没有增加,看的是Hdd行业的复苏。订单有没有回来。
1 Like · 4 days · translate
SEA BOBO
我没担心 haha
只是有人问我dufu agm有什么坏消息
我就一五一十地回答咯
Like · 4 days · translate
yap yap
盈利如果双位数增长率,70% utilisation rate而已,如果80%,90%,很恐怖一下leh,代表发展空间很大咯。管理层意思str demand。。酱就要加注咯。
Like · 4 days · translate
Deric Tan
gosh,, the result so bad
1 Like · 4 days · translate
Eric S
the result so so good
1 Like · 4 days · translate
SEA BOBO
Doesn't matter the result good or not, I've already got the answer from the QR. Same as what they said in the AGM, the worst is over and they will start to grow in the upcoming quarters.
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Gemini
After next QR , PE Ratio will be 100
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SEA BOBO
It takes time to recover, definitely not a 'V' shape recovery that investors dream of but it's ok :). Just stay invested through the whole upcycle and enjoy the ride.
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散户的机会
Go back 1.7 at 1 month
Let’s see
1 Like · 4 days · translate
Eric S
wonder why the gross profit margin so low
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Admiral Adama
Bobo, how about focus on those company that benefit from front end semicon industry chain? Definitely v shape recovery.
Like · 4 days · translate
HK Chong
I think recovery on next quarter will be more significant, based on the prospect in qr :)
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SEA BOBO
@Adama, you mean Sam Engineering is it haha.
Very good company, but the current price is not something that I am comfortable with.
Just a heads up, I think most likely they will need to do some corporate activities like issuing right issues or even private placement in the future to support their aggressive growth plan.

@HK Chong
Yes, definitely.
The management purposely release the QR after the AGM session. They also don't wish the price to plummet due to the poor result xD
Investing is all about the improving earnings in the future, not the previous nor current one.
Since the management already mentioned that they will grow at least 10% in HDD and 20% in their metal stamping division, I expect the upcoming QRs will achieve YoY and QoQ growth.
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1 Like · 4 days · translate
Fly me to the Moon
There is a foreign exchange loss if RM3 Mil.

in preceeding quarter, there is a gain of 2++ million.
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Admiral Adama
Haha good stuff never cheap. Dont u think they deserve some premium since they did not suffer a huge revenue/profit drop like many other bursa semicon related company. Althought their hdd/sdd equipment segment suffer too last year but their front end segment still continue growing fast.
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Like · 4 days · translate
SEA BOBO
Their price is already premium in my opinion. It's a great company managed by great managers. No doubt they will continue to grow in this year. But the price isn't that attractive to me at this moment. Just my two cents, cheers.
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Like · 4 days · translate
Admiral Adama
Yup, cheap bargain price was months ago when retailers dumped because of the right issue.
1 Like · 4 days · translate
yap yap
跟unisem完全一样的套路,应该很快会有好消息。利空不跌,加上qr看到加大中国投资。很快
2 Like · 4 days · translate
SEA BOBO
Ya, it was an opportunity when the stock price dropped below the issued price of the right issue... I missed it...
1 Like · 3 days · translate
Koh Randy
what is the right issue price @sea bobo
Like · 3 days · translate
SEA BOBO
@yap
投了就放着呗,只要没有什么坏消息,股价是不会跌的。
接下来的QR都是会继续成长,所以股价起是合理的。
1 Like · 3 days · translate
yap yap
sea
接下来应该是消息面,美国商务部放松对中国Ai晶片管制。dufu又在中国扩大投资,大概率有关系。很快消息会出来
Like · 3 days · translate
Mark Lim
你们应该说,ai数据中心需要大量hdd
Like · 3 days · translate
yap yap
sea
我大胆预测,dufu有机会去到10快
1 Like · 3 days · translate
Admiral Adama
豆腐牛逼!!!gogogo!
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Jason Yzs
kuat harimau dufu ni
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散户的机会
大大力打我脸,Pak Q punya market
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SEA BOBO
10 块根本不logic。。。哈哈
2 Like · 3 days · translate
Steve Cheah Siew Wai
要成功, 先要学习画大饼, 像 Topglov, 画个 30块, 再来 100块, 结果。。。。哈哈哈
Like · 3 days · translate
Admiral Adama
Ops翻车了。。。
1 Like · 3 days · translate
Patrick Chai
IDDS volume up today, same like TG kena bought down.
Like · 3 days · translate
yap yap
Adama
你觉得翻车,人家才start engine.。vroom vroom
Like · 3 days · translate
yap yap
Sea
10快市值才多少,50多亿,科技股你要用未来折现现在股价,你才搞得懂。科技股看的是未来现金流。
1 Like · 3 days · translate
Admiral Adama
50亿市值我也想,但是靠什么?靠吹吗?
1 Like · 3 days · translate
Warren Time
安啦,dufu最差时期已经过去,接下来耐心点投资等待,下半年一定有好果子吃喔。
Like · 3 days · translate
yap yap
Adama
需要你帮忙吹,哈哈
1 Like · 3 days · translate
SEA BOBO
@adama 你的kobay and sam去了月球了。恭喜恭喜。
Like · 1 day · translate
Admiral Adama
哈哈谢了,不过嘛我有留言提起的股不代表我一定有票,我没留言也不代表我没有票。

我只是喜欢和各路英雄好汉交流而已。。。
Like · 1 day · translate