Tteffub Nerraw's comment on HIBISCS. All Comments

Tteffub Nerraw
1 Like · Reply
Hopefully today drop is the last drop for the month. US tariff on Canada and Mexico oil confirm to start on March.
Chan Ah Pek
Hope can go back 2 and above lvl
Like · 3 weeks · translate
Tteffub Nerraw
Lady Hibiscs, already shows all her legs. Let see how many fund manager is enticed.
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Tteffub Nerraw
Hibiscs is the world most honestly run companies. They confirm no entertain shark request for direct line. Respect.
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Tteffub Nerraw
If you aren’t willing to own a stock for 10 years, don’t even think about owning it for 10 minutes. Do you know why?
Like · 2 weeks · translate
Chan Ah Pek
Added today, trust hib management team
Increased dividend too for this q
2 Like · 2 weeks · translate
Tteffub Nerraw
Me too. Hahaha, because the expected dividend yield is 7% based on current price. I just pity those follow youtuber and guru chases hot stocks....all claim to teach fundamental but actually teach FIFO and FOMO.
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Tteffub Nerraw
We will be rich once it reach dividend yield 10%... and compound it from there. haha
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Chan Ah Pek
I got close relatives work in hibiscus, sapura and etc for now o n g companies still good no laid off and unstoppable workload need go back offshore office always
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Tteffub Nerraw
I see. Ya, secret to Hibiscs is to check if their production rate increase or not. Since all major maintenance has completed, i am sure they will be very busy this 3 years. As long it is still profitable to extract oil, the only goal is to extract as fast as possible.
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Tteffub Nerraw
Bro Chan, please let me know if anything happen ya. Hahaha
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cheng
what is the latest bpd for Hibiscus now, TN?
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Tteffub Nerraw
Hibiscus Petroleum achieved a quarterly net production of 28,138 boe/day, a 35% increase compared to FY2024. The 2026 production target is 35,000-50,000 boe/day. https://www.hibiscuspetroleum.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/HPB-Press-Release-Q2FY2025-Final.pdf https://www.hibiscuspetroleum.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Q2-FY2025-Analyst-Briefing-Final.pdf
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Like · 2 weeks · translate
cheng
any guidance on the actual barrels per day (bpd) for crude oil? the boe/day consists of two - crude oil and gas. Back in 2020/2021, the crude oil production for Hibiscus was close to 10k bpd from the assets on hands. Not sure what is the status now and hence asking. Been a few years now since I last looked at it :)
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cheng
and if i recalled correctly, the mgmt plan back then was to double the production to 20k per day.
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Tteffub Nerraw
Cheng, hopefully you are interested in it. Hehe
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cheng
takes a while to update all the information again including the 2P/2C resources, TN. Not so soon unless attractive quotes coming from Mr. Market.
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Tteffub Nerraw
The great thing about Hibiscus is their willingness to share data openly. For me, I focus primarily on the production rate, as it is the only controllable factor, and the growth in dividend per share (DPS), which reflects the CEO’s willingness to share profits with investors. As for the volatility of Brent crude and the Ringgit, as long as these factors do not impact earnings by more than -20%, it should be safe to hold the stock for the long term.
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Like · 2 weeks · translate
cheng
thanks, TN. same2 - production rate bpd and boe, asset reserves replacement - how much proven and probable reserves and the balance sheet. Not really attractive if the asset reserves replacement is low - more capex needed for explorations or acquisitions. Will be interesting to see how much it has grown over the last few years from close to 10k bpd to not sure how much it is now; same goes with its 2P/2C reserves
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1 Like · 2 weeks · translate
Tteffub Nerraw
I also betting that Sarawak Gov may want to have a stake in Hibiscs (privatise) in the coming years to secure Petros long term operation sustainability.
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Tteffub Nerraw
Noted Cheng.
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Tteffub Nerraw
I used to pay attention to asset reserves, but now I think the data is not reliable. Companies like Enron (2001), Royal Dutch Shell (2004), and OxyContin & Anadarko Petroleum (2019) all overestimated their asset reserves. Anyway, based on Hibiscus' CEO's track record, he always tends to underestimate everything. Haha, the only time you see the dividend per share (DPS) growing is when he feels it's safe to give out a dividend. Same goes with share buyback. Hibiscs is the most conservative run company in Bursa, therefore it is boring and Guru cannot make up stories to hype the stocks.

(ps. Production rate will increase if reserve is healthy. They pump less when reserve is almost empty regardless what is their estimated reserve)
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Like · 2 weeks · translate
cheng
ok, thanks TN. reserve drying up is a problem. the leading indicator is pump volume more than reserve replacement volume - run for your life if you see this :)
2 Like · 2 weeks · translate
Tteffub Nerraw
Sht... got kick out... what the... run run run... dont average down... we wait next week see got chance enter again.
Like · 1 week · translate
cheng
Good stops there, TN. It won't be attractive unless it goes to 1.00/below.
1 Like · 1 week · translate
Tteffub Nerraw
Haha, ya ya... brent suddenly drop break 69.7... resistant. you expect eps to drop 30%? hmmm..
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Tteffub Nerraw
Based on the current price 1.46, i est market is believe brent will fall til 47usd/bbl,... what the ..... pessimism on earth is it... hahaha
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Tteffub Nerraw
Brent trader break the 70.1 resistant!! go go go!!!
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Tteffub Nerraw
70.191... wait 72 above call me.. ciao
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Tteffub Nerraw
Mungkin sukar Petros, Sarawak bergerak solo, kata ketua PN negeri.Jaziri Alkaf Abdillah Suffian berkata Sarawak mungkin tidak mempunyai kapasiti dan kepakaran mencukupi untuk membolehkan Petros berperanan sebagai satu-satunya agregator gas.. Hello... Abang Jo... wink wink.. solution is here... wink wink.... hib..is...cs....
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Tteffub Nerraw
Hibiscus Petroluem Sarawak ... wow... cantik
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