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To be honest. It could drop further more. Vaccine is actually not effective as we see. 400k people from Israel Received second dose from Pfizer vaccine. report from Israel country out of 189k people tested, 12,400 people have tested positive for covid 19. Currently situation is very unstable. If couldn't solve in this year. AA might bankrupt.
As original declaration from Phizer:
First dose : Effective range at 52%
Second dose: Effective range 95%
In Israel, statistical data taken among189k people vaccinated with either first dose or second dose, result is 12.4k (first dose) and 69 (second dose) infected covid .Let say around 24k people with first dose having a close contact with covid-19 patients, there is still possibility half of 24k, around 12,400, will be infected. The most important is second dose with>90% efficiency.
The study of 102 samples, taken a week after Israel began administering the second dose — when the vaccine is expected to reach peak effectiveness — showed most vaccin hiated people had higher antibody counts than those who have recovered from COVID-19.