Bracing for a recession

TheStar Sat, May 02, 2020 09:30am - 5 years View Original


Manokaran Mottain: All in all, we expect the domestic economy to contract 2.5% y-o-y this year, with GDP remaining in negative trajectory of between -5% and -3% in at least three quarters of this year

OVER the past couple of months, financial markets have fluctuated wildly due to the Covid-19 pandemic and collapse of crude oil prices since early March. Warnings of an imminent global recession have been ringing louder than ever.

The pandemic has hammered the global economy leading to significant job losses and business closures due to unprecedented measures implemented to contain the spread of the virus.

With disappointing economic indicators worldwide, a considerable downturn is expected, potentially worse than the 2009 Global Financial Crisis (GFC).

The global economy was already trending downwards prior to Covid-19. The private sector will likely take the biggest hit. Business investments and overall economic activities will likely be delayed or scaled down.

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Comments

Oliver Christopher Gomez
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"....which have prevented people from leaving homes (except those working in essential services), and forced some small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and micro businesses to close."

Stopped reading after this sentence. This economist is talking out of his arse if he believes that just "some" businesses have had to close.
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