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Owen Lee
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HEKTAR REIT(HEKTAR)
MBOW Public Output v3.3
1)核心结论
长期下降结构未改变,但当前处于中短周期反弹接力阶段。
本质状态
下跌趋势中的反弹波段(但这次反弹质量比前几次更强)
2)结构 + 共振 + SPD(Merged Layer)
长周期(Month + Quarter)
结构评分:5.5 / 10
趋势状态:长期下降趋势未扭转,价格仍在云层下方
动能状态:MACD仍在负区但收敛,Fisher低位回升后再钝化
资金(OBV):持续流出后仅出现弱修复
SPD:5.2(长期动能弱且断续,没有趋势推动力)
结论:长周期仍然是压制结构
中周期(Week + Day)
结构评分:6.2 / 10
结构状态:从底部区域反弹,逐步回到均衡区
动能状态:MACD翻正,Stoch高位运行
SPD:6.4(反弹节奏清晰,属于主动修复而非被动反抽)
结论:中周期已进入有效反弹段
短周期(4H + 30m)
结构评分:6.5 / 10
结构状态:短线持续抬高低点,形成上升阶梯
动能状态:MACD高位回落但未破坏结构,Stoch高位震荡
SPD:6.6(短线推动力集中,但接近过热区)
结论:短线仍在推进,但接近节奏末端
总体SPD关系
短 ≥ 中 > 长
说明:反弹由中短周期主导,但未传导至长期
3)关键价位(Key Levels)
支撑区
0.435 – 0.440(短线结构位)
0.420 – 0.425(中周期防守)
0.400 – 0.410(下行结构底)
压力区
0.450 – 0.455(当前压制位)
0.470 – 0.480(关键结构突破)
0.500 – 0.520(趋势反转区)
4)路径推演(Path A / B / C)
Path A(45%)
条件:站稳 0.440 并突破 0.455
结论:反弹延续,有机会挑战 0.470 以上结构
Path B(35%)
条件:维持 0.435 – 0.455
结论:高位震荡整理,消化短线过热
Path C(20%)
条件:跌破 0.435
结论:反弹失败,回到弱结构区
5)最终结论 + 评级(Merged)
当前阶段
反弹中后段(接近压力区)
MBOW Ratings
Long-Term:C
Short-Term:B
Composite:B-
Structure:C+(反弹结构)
Final Verdict
当前区域:可操作区,但接近压力
关键验证点
是否有效突破 0.455
是否能维持在 0.440 上方
结论
这不是底部反转,而是质量较高的反弹波段
适合顺势短线,但不适合当作趋势持仓
English (v3.3 Compact)
1)Core Conclusion
Downtrend intact, currently in a stronger rebound phase
2)Structure + SPD
Long-Term: 5.5 (downtrend intact)
Mid-Term: 6.2 (active rebound)
Short-Term: 6.5 (pushing but near exhaustion)
SPD: Short ≥ Mid > Long
3)Key Levels + Paths
Support: 0.435–0.440 / 0.420–0.425 / 0.400–0.410
Resistance: 0.450–0.455 / 0.470–0.480 / 0.500–0.520
Path A: 45% continuation
Path B: 35% consolidation
Path C: 20% failure
4)Final Verdict + Ratings
Phase: Rebound (late stage)
Zone: Actionable but near resistance
Long-Term: C
Short-Term: B
Composite: B-
Structure: C+
Trigger: break 0.455 and hold above 0.440
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Ang Ching Yew
Looks solid je this analyst, now waiting for timing only
Like · 2 weeks · translate
Lee Long Wu
Hold hektar for 3 - 6 months
Like · 2 days · translate
Chong Kim Huat
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Hektar has been actively expanding its portfolio through a series of strategic moves, including a RM30 million acquisition of industrial and office blocks in Bayan Lepas, Penang, as well as two separate land purchases in Alor Gajah, Melaka, totaling RM40 million. In addition, the company secured a RM26 million deal for a 90% stake in Terramark Sdn Bhd and has committed RM11.4 million to upgrade lifts and escalators at Subang Parade to enhance the mall’s competitiveness.
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Yong Teck Ying
Targeting 50 sen next, wish can see some improvement
1 Like · 5 days · translate
Tan Hao Yu
50 sen target is not bad, hope the stock can really fly ah maybe can catch some quick gains if it moves
Like · 3 days · translate
Everett Aw
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Hektar REIT is in a "transition and upgrade" phase. While short-term profits took a small hit due to one-off expenses and upgrades, the aggressive expansion into industrial and education sectors suggests they are building a more diverse and "future-proof" portfolio
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Johnson Loh
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哈哈,这个扶不起的阿斗,你们还没睡醒啊,还没卖
James Talk
1 Like · Reply
Hektar REIT isn't just about shopping malls anymore, though they remain the bread and butter
Retail Assets: Contributed 93.3% of total revenue. Malls like Central Square and Segamat Central saw improved occupancy and higher rental income.
Education Assets: Contributed 6.7% of revenue (via Kolej Yayasan Saad). This is a newer diversification play for the trust.
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Chong Kim Huat
the education bit is a start for diversification. Got to see if Kolej Yayasan Saad can really grow and make a difference in the long run
Like · 3 weeks · translate
Andrew Ho
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Their malls, like Central Square and Segamat Central, have been doing better recently. More shops are opening up, and rental income has gone up as well
Alan Wai Sheng
This seems like Hektar strategy is paying off for them, next quarter can look forward
Like · 1 month · translate
lee lee
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中国游客很多过来游玩 马六甲 利好 markota parade
Lim Jun Yong
Chinese tourists flocking to Melaka really good, gt more business for sure. This influx should give it a nice boost
1 Like · 1 month · translate
Lee Chee Keen
2 Like · Reply
起床咯。。不要睡觉了。。
Lee Chee Keen
起床咯。。。不要再睡咯。。。等你翻盘的。。 #哭哭
Like · 2 months · translate
lee lee
这次股息要不要被抽10%呢?
Like · 2 months · translate
Eric Fong
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有人看到鸡精慢慢收票了吗
lee lee
希望那个电动火车可以带动 Hektar 各大商场人潮。。。。
Like · 3 months · translate
Eric Fong
业绩应该稳下来一点了吧,大概每季度四百万上下,希望有好转。
1 Like · 3 months · translate
Douglas Liu
1 Like · Reply
Upayapadu continues to buy in. Any time for the stock to rise
Lee Chee Keen
hektar 真的可以卖掉了。。业绩越来越差。。
Like · 4 months · translate
lee lee
慢慢变好 哈哈哈 你不要就便宜卖给我吧。。。
Like · 4 months · translate