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MBOW PUBLIC|AUMAS RESOURCES BERHAD(AUMAS)
周期:30M|4H|1D|1W|1M|3M
现价:0.425
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结构状态 MARKET STATE
SP 4.8 / 10 SPD 3.7 / 10
结构状态:Distribution Structure
资金持续流出为当前核心特征。
周线、日线、4小时 OBV 同步下降,MACD 多周期维持空头结构,价格持续远离主要成交密集区。
目前不是整理等待突破。
而是下跌结构中的弱势修复阶段。
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周期迁移 TIMEFRAME TRANSITION FLOW
3M:冲高失败后持续回落,价格重新跌回长期筹码区。→ 长周期转弱
1M:MACD跌回零轴附近,OBV持续下降。→ 中长期转弱
1W:价格连续失守主要结构位,MACD死叉延续。→ 空头主导
1D:价格持续位于云层下方,资金不断流出。→ 下跌延续
4H:短线出现反弹K线,但仍在下降结构内部。→ 弱势修复
30M:MACD出现反弹,但OBV没有同步恢复。→ 技术反抽
周期结论:
长周期向下。
中周期向下。
短周期仅出现修复。
整体仍属于空头控制结构。
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多周期共振 MULTI-TIMEFRAME RESONANCE
周线、日线及4小时方向一致偏空。
OBV持续流出。
MACD多数周期维持空头排列。
目前属于空头共振结构。
短线反弹尚未改变主导方向。
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结构位 STRUCTURE LEVELS
阻力 Resistance
0.440 → 短线反弹压力区
0.500 → 核心供应区
0.625 → 长周期供应区
支撑 Support
0.420 → 当前承接区
0.375 → 长周期支撑区
0.300 → 历史承接区
失效区 Failure Zone
0.375 以下 → 长周期结构进一步恶化
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路径A PATH A(42%)
时间惯性:3–10 个交易日
逻辑:
短线MACD出现修复。
30M与4H进入技术反弹阶段。
若成功站上 0.440,并突破 0.500 供应区,则有机会向更高结构位修复。
但资金流尚未确认回归。
目前仅属于反弹路径。
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路径B PATH B(58%)
时间惯性:1–4 周
逻辑:
周线、日线及4小时OBV持续流出。
MACD空头结构尚未结束。
若 0.440 无法突破,则价格大概率重新测试 0.420 与 0.375 支撑区。
当前主路径仍为弱势延续。
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失败路径 FAILURE PATH
触发:
跌破 0.420,并放量失守 0.375。
风险方向:
空头结构进一步扩散。
价格重新进入长期弱势区。
当前阶段:
未完全触发,但风险持续存在。
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最终结构状态 FINAL STRUCTURE STATE
AUMAS 当前最重要的讯号不是反弹,而是资金持续流出。
周线、日线及4小时OBV同步下降,是整张图最强的方向证据。
短线虽然出现技术修复,但尚未形成真正结构反转。
关键位置为 0.440。
站稳 0.440,反弹才有机会扩大;
无法突破,则空头结构仍将主导后续走势。
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免责声明 DISCLAIMER
本分析仅基于所提供图表中可见的价格结构、VPVR、Ichimoku、MACD、ADX、OBV 按 MBOW 5.0 Public v2.5.1 解读,不构成投资建议。市场有波动与失效风险,操作请自行控制仓位与风险。MBOW PUBLIC|AUMAS RESOURCES BERHAD (AUMAS)
Period: 30M|4H|1D|1W|1M|3M
Current Price: RM0.425
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MARKET STATE
SP 4.8 / 10 SPD 3.7 / 10
Structure State: Distribution Structure
Persistent capital outflow remains the dominant feature.
Weekly, Daily and 4H OBV continue trending lower, while MACD remains bearish across most major timeframes. Price continues to trade well below the primary volume acceptance zone.
This is not a consolidation awaiting breakout.
This is a weak recovery attempt occurring inside a broader bearish structure.
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TIMEFRAME TRANSITION FLOW
3M: Failed expansion followed by a sharp retracement back into the long-term volume zone. → Long-term weakening structure
1M: MACD falling toward the zero line while OBV continues to decline. → Medium-term deterioration
1W: Multiple structural supports lost, bearish MACD remains active. → Bears maintain control
1D: Price remains below the cloud with continued capital outflow. → Downtrend continuation
4H: Short-term rebound developing, but still within a declining structure. → Weak recovery phase
30M: MACD recovery visible, but OBV remains weak. → Technical rebound only
Transition Conclusion:
Long-term direction remains bearish.
Medium-term direction remains bearish.
Short-term recovery is visible but has not altered the primary structure.
Overall market control remains with the sellers.
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MULTI-TIMEFRAME RESONANCE
Weekly, Daily and 4H structures remain aligned to the downside.
OBV continues to weaken across major timeframes.
MACD remains bearish across most higher-period structures.
Current condition reflects bearish multi-timeframe resonance.
The recent rebound has not yet changed the dominant trend.
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STRUCTURE LEVELS
Resistance
0.440 → Immediate rebound resistance
0.500 → Major supply zone
0.625 → Long-term supply zone
Support
0.420 → Current support area
0.375 → Major structural support
0.300 → Historical demand zone
Failure Zone
Below 0.375 → Long-term structure deterioration
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PATH A (42%)
Time Inertia: 3–10 Trading Days
Logic:
Short-term MACD recovery is developing.
30M and 4H structures are attempting a technical rebound.
If price successfully reclaims 0.440 and later breaks above the 0.500 supply zone, a larger recovery phase may develop.
However, capital participation has not yet confirmed a meaningful return.
At present, this remains a rebound scenario rather than a trend reversal.
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PATH B (58%)
Time Inertia: 1–4 Weeks
Logic:
Weekly, Daily and 4H OBV continue showing persistent outflow.
Bearish MACD structures remain intact.
If price fails to overcome 0.440 resistance, the market is likely to retest 0.420 and eventually 0.375 support.
The primary path remains bearish continuation.
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FAILURE PATH
Trigger:
Break below 0.420 followed by a decisive loss of 0.375.
Risk Direction:
Bearish expansion accelerates.
Price re-enters a long-term weak structure.
Current Status:
Not fully triggered, but risk remains elevated.
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FINAL STRUCTURE STATE
The most important signal in AUMAS is not the recent rebound.
It is the ongoing capital outflow.
Weekly, Daily and 4H OBV continue to trend lower, providing the strongest directional evidence currently visible on the chart.
While short-term recovery attempts are present, there is still no confirmed structural reversal.
The key level remains 0.440.
Holding above 0.440 allows the rebound to expand.
Failure at 0.440 keeps the broader bearish structure in control.
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DISCLAIMER
This analysis is based solely on visible price structure, VPVR, Ichimoku, MACD, ADX and OBV evidence from the charts provided under the MBOW 5.0 Public v2.5.1 framework. It is not financial advice. Markets carry risk, and all trading or investment decisions should be accompanied by appropriate risk management and position sizing.