RHB Research lowers GDP growth to 5.4%, expects Bank Negara to cut OPR

TheStar Tue, Jan 19, 2021 03:32pm - 3 years View Original


On monetary policy, Jha said Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) was expected to cut the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 1.5 per cent in Q1 2021.

KUALA LUMPUR: RHB Banking Group has revised its forecast for Malaysia’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) this year to 5.4 per cent from 6.3 per cent, reflecting a more conservative growth outlook amid the re-imposition of the Movement Control Order (MCO 2.0).

The group’s base scenario assumed MCO 2.0 would run for four weeks, chief economist and head of market research Dr Sailesh Kumar Jha said.

"Private consumption is projected to be the most impacted by the MCO 2.0 restrictions whereby retail activity is likely to see a decline judging by the drastic drop in the mobility index.

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